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Signs of Collapse 2019 - Summary of the year

Hi /FridaysForFuture! I have been working on an ongoing project for four years now nick-named “[Signs of collapse]”. We can all see how the natural world that we’re depending on is degrading at an increasing pace while the warnings of the scientific community are ignored. I think in order to reach a world that is truly sustainable and free from fossil fuels, it's imperative that everyone fully understand where we are now and which path we are on. To progress, we have to identify the problems and accept them for what they are if we wish to have any chance addressing them.
I try my best to not make this series into a rant about every little problem or mishap that’s going on. Even in a sustainable society accidents would happen and natural catastrophes would occur, seasons would vary in intensity from year to year and so on. So what I present here is my best attempt at distilling out anthropogenic anomalies.
I define a “sign of collapse” as a negative market externality that the current socioeconomic system for whatever reason hasn’t dealt with and is now ending up hurting people or the ecosystem. I try to pick studies and news that shows the occurring consequences of the current system’s failure to deal with externalities.
Urgent action is needed now and there's close to no upper limit to how radically environmentalist one can reasonably become at the present time. I hope this collection of catastrophes can serve as sharp ammunition in whatever project or strike you participate in.
Feel free to share any of the material or repost this on other suitable subreddits. If you would like to get involved in this project, don’t hesitate to chat me up.
Previous posts:

Signs of Collapse 2019 Summary of the year

Human well-being & non-specific climate change
Economy, Politics & Industry
Biodiversity
Pests, viruses and bacterial infections
Coral reefs
Ice and water
Hurricanes, storms and winds
Heat waves, forest fires and tree loss
Pollution
submitted by Dave37 to FridaysForFuture [link] [comments]

Signs of Collapse 2019 - Summary of the year

Hi /TZM! I have been working on an ongoing project for four years now nick-named “[Signs of collapse]”. I’m confident the world is getting worse, but despite which path we’re on, we have to identify the problems and accept them for what they are if we wish to have any chance addressing them.
I try my best to not make this series into a rant about every little problem or mishap that’s going on. Even in a sustainable society accidents would happen and natural catastrophes would occur, seasons would vary in intensity from year to year and so on. So what I present here is my best attempt at distilling out anthropogenic anomalies.
I define a “sign of collapse” as a negative market externality that the current socioeconomic system for whatever reason hasn’t dealt with and is now ending up hurting people or the ecosystem. I try to pick studies and news that shows the occurring consequences of the current system’s failure to deal with externalities.
I’m also trying to make the argument, and feel free to disagree with me and have a discussion, that “the collapse” that some people are waiting for that will apparently “wake up” people is occurring right now, and if you want to do something, you better hurry before it’s too late.
Feel free to share any of the material or repost this on other suitable subreddits. If you would like to get involved in this project, don’t hesitate to chat me up.
Previous posts:

Signs of Collapse 2019 Summary of the year

Human well-being & non-specific climate change
Economy, Politics & Industry
Biodiversity
Pests, viruses and bacterial infections
Coral reefs
Ice and water
Hurricanes, storms and winds
Heat waves, forest fires and tree loss
Pollution
submitted by Dave37 to TZM [link] [comments]

Signs of Collapse 2019 - Summary of the year

Hi /LateStageCapitalism, I have for four years collected studies and news articles that points to “[Signs of collapse]” of our current global market economy/society. Before I go on, let me first describe what I mean and how I use the term "sign of collapse". Because it's virtually impossible to point to definitive proof that our society is collapsing under the pressure of the market economy and since any one single event can't be justified proof, I've taken to collect a lot of indicators that we're in fact in the later stages of capitalism.
A "sign of collapse" is therefore a negative market externality that the current socioeconomic system for whatever reason hasn’t dealt with and is now ending up hurting people or the ecosystem. The idea is that when the amount, frequency and magnitude of these increases, they will start to destabilize the system.
I try my best to not make this series into a rant about every little problem or mishap that’s going on. Even in a sustainable society accidents would happen and natural catastrophes would occur, seasons would vary in intensity from year to year and so on. I try to pick studies and news that shows the occurring consequences of the current system’s failure to deal with externalities. I'm trying to avoid prognoses and instead only talk about what's happens right now, as it's easy to discard things that might not even occur.
I’m also trying to make the argument, and feel free to disagree with me and have a discussion, that “the collapse” that some people are waiting for that will apparently “wake up” people is occurring right now, and if you want to do something, you better hurry before it’s too late. And despite which path we’re on, we have to identify the problems and accept them for what they are if we wish to have any chance addressing them.
Feel free to share any of the material or repost this on other suitable subreddits. If you would like to get involved in this project, don’t hesitate to chat me up.
Previous posts:

Signs of Collapse 2019 Summary of the year

Human well-being & non-specific climate change
Economy, Politics & Industry
Biodiversity
Pests, viruses and bacterial infections
Coral reefs
Ice and water
Hurricanes, storms and winds
Heat waves, forest fires and tree loss
Pollution
submitted by Dave37 to LateStageCapitalism [link] [comments]

Signs of Collapse - Summary of the year

Hi /Sustainability! I have been working on an ongoing project for four years now nick-named “[Signs of collapse]”. Even if we strive for and dream of a sustainable world, a lot of things are becoming worse. And I think in order to reach a world that is truly sustainable, it's imperative that we fully understand where we are now and which path we are on. To progress, we have to identify the problems and accept them for what they are if we wish to have any chance addressing them.
I try my best to not make this series into a rant about every little problem or mishap that’s going on. Even in a sustainable society accidents would happen and natural catastrophes would occur, seasons would vary in intensity from year to year and so on. So what I present here is my best attempt at distilling out anthropogenic anomalies.
I define a “sign of collapse” as a negative market externality that the current socioeconomic system for whatever reason hasn’t dealt with and is now ending up hurting people or the ecosystem. I try to pick studies and news that shows the occurring consequences of the current system’s failure to deal with externalities.
I’m also trying to make the argument, and feel free to disagree with me and have a discussion, that urgent action is needed now and there's close to no upper limit to how radically environmentalist one can reasonably become at the present time. If you want to do something, you better hurry before it’s too late.
Feel free to share any of the material or repost this on other suitable subreddits. If you would like to get involved in this project, don’t hesitate to chat me up.
Previous posts:

Signs of Collapse 2019 Summary of the year

Human well-being & non-specific climate change
Economy, Politics & Industry
Biodiversity
Pests, viruses and bacterial infections
Coral reefs
Ice and water
Hurricanes, storms and winds
Heat waves, forest fires and tree loss
Pollution
submitted by Dave37 to sustainability [link] [comments]

Signs of Collapse 2019 - Summary of the Year

Hi /ZeroWaste! I have been working on an ongoing project for four years now nick-named “[Signs of collapse]”. Even if we strive for and dream of a sustainable world with zero waste, a lot of things are becoming worse. And I think in order to reach a circular economy with zero waste, working in harmony with nature, it's imperative that we fully understand where we are now and which path we are on. To progress, we have to identify the problems and accept them for what they are if we wish to have any chance addressing them.
I try my best to not make this series into a rant about every little problem or mishap that’s going on. Even in a sustainable society accidents would happen and natural catastrophes would occur, seasons would vary in intensity from year to year and so on. So what I present here is my best attempt at distilling out anthropogenic anomalies.
I define a “sign of collapse” as a negative market externality that the current socioeconomic system for whatever reason hasn’t dealt with and is now ending up hurting people or the ecosystem. I try to pick studies and news that shows the occurring consequences of the current system’s failure to deal with externalities.
I’m also trying to make the argument, and feel free to disagree with me and have a discussion, that urgent action is needed now and there's close to no upper limit to how radically environmentalist one can reasonably become at the present time. If you want to do something, you better hurry before it’s too late.
Feel free to share any of the material or repost this on other suitable subreddits. If you would like to get involved in this project, don’t hesitate to chat me up.
Previous posts:

Signs of Collapse 2019 Summary of the year

Human well-being & non-specific climate change
Economy, Politics & Industry
Biodiversity
Pests, viruses and bacterial infections
Coral reefs
Ice and water
Hurricanes, storms and winds
Heat waves, forest fires and tree loss
Pollution
submitted by Dave37 to ZeroWaste [link] [comments]

The Weight We Carry Ch 18

So you've been asking and I heard! The latest chapter in The Weight We Carry! I got bit by the writing bug earlier this morning and if my strange writing habits weren't so time consuming I'd have it out sooner. As it is I'm posting this and then going to bed! So if there's any glaring mistakes or horrible things I didn't mean to leave in? Well... shit.
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Previous Chapter
Highway Y outside Eldon, Former Missouri. 9:21 am local time, December 25th 2034.
“This… isn’t… a very… good… Christmas.” I looked over my shoulder with a smirk as I saw Sergeant Huertas pedaling along at the back of the group. Wobbling a little as he kept riding.
“What’s wrong sergeant? Don’t you get enough PT? This is just a nice little ride into town.” I looked ahead up Highway Y as we kept riding. Thankfully it hadn’t snowed since the trucks came through so the road was clear enough for the rest of us to follow on our bikes. Since the attack on Fort Sierra the trucks and cars were all being used to move around supplies and equipment, along with our wounded. The rest of us. Myself included, had two choices for transport. Foot. Or bike.
“It’s… not that… this… hurts… my dick.” The sergeant replied which made the rest of us start laughing and I shook my head a little at his rather honest answer.
“You’ve got to adjust the seat sergeant. Didn’t anyone ever teach you how to properly ride a bike?” I asked then as I looked back to see him huff and puff, his breath coming out in big plumes thanks to the low temperature.
“When I was a kid! Not… for this… ride so… long… your dick… hurts… shit.” I couldn’t help but laugh once again. “In the… fishing village… where I grew up… we drove places.” I thought that over a moment.
“Fishing village? Aren’t you from LA?” I asked and he nodded as he kept pedaling.
“Like I said… the fishing village. Fuck… I didn’t… join the army… for no… goddamn… tour de… Missouri shit.” I kept chuckling even as I shook my head and kept moving. Leave it to Sergeant Huertas to make a long cold bike ride more amusing.
“Come now sergeant. Bicycle corps have a long and storied military history. Starting in the late 1800s. Used by the first commandos of the modern age. The Dutch in South Africa.” I glanced around the group of bike riders around me then. Lewis was to my right, Felon was to my left, and the rest of Alpha around us. I was plenty well protected in this group of resistance soldiers riding their bikes into old Eldon. Might as well give them a little history lesson while we rode.
“The Dutch? Weren’t they known for smoking a lot of pot and growing tulips?” Lewis asked which made me chuckle again.
“Don’t let their modern history fool you. The Dutch once held a massive trade empire spanning the globe. New York as first New Amsterdam, and Australia was New Holland. Though for some reason the Brits didn’t rename New Zealand… Anyway they actually started a lot of modern military ideas. The first marines were Dutch. They raided the English navy at port once. Burned up a lot of ships up the Thames river which would be like… the Cubans sailing up the Mississippi and burning shit in Saint Louis.”
“The Dutch?” Felon asked and I nodded as we kept pedaling along, Huertas wheezing behind us.
“Yep. Then their king… or prince? The monarch of the Netherlands at some point became the king of England and shit went downhill for the Dutch after that. The Brits conquered most of their colonies and they were never the same… But anyway back to bicycle corps. In the…” I paused and tried to remember my years a bit. “A few centuries ago the Dutch settled in South Africa and later the Brits showed up and drove them inland away from the coast. The Netherlands had to give up the colony and they became the independent… Boers. Before you ask no I have no idea what Boers means or why the name change.”
“They called themselves pigs?” Lewis asked and I laughed before shaking my head.
“B-O-E-R-S.” I spelled out. “Like I said. I don’t know the meaning. Anyway, the Brits weren’t satisfied with the coastal towns when they found out about the resources deeper in South Africa… and all of Africa I guess. So they took over. Then the Boers began a resistance campaign that spawned the first modern commandos. Hit and run raids, early IEDs, all sorts of guerilla tactics. It was a brutal and protracted affair. War crimes for both sides involved honestly. But back then they weren’t called war crimes.” I trailed off as we kept riding until Lewis spoke up again.
“So… the bicycle corps?”
“Right.” I nodded as he reminded me. “So one of the best commandos at the time realized that horses take supplies and are pretty easy to spot, and only certain people could have them since they were expensive. But they also had bikes. So what’s faster and easier than walking 20 miles? Biking 20 miles.”
“It ain’t… fuckin… easy…” Huertas panted from the back which made most of us chuckle again.
“I said easier. Easier doesn’t mean easy. Anyway, that’s Eldon up ahead.” I pointed to the buildings ahead of us a ways. “We’re not far now. But yeah… the Dutch were the first marines, and commandos, and created the first bike corps. They were in limited use for decades. Even in World War 2 the Danish had them and later on the Germans used them as they got pushed back into Germany. In fact the Boer commando who came up with the idea was the great great grandfather of… that one… actress…” My words slowed down as I tried to think of her and glanced over at Felon. “You remember her right?”
He just shrugged as he kept riding. “Colonel I have no idea who might be related to an old Dutch commando.”
I sighed out then and slowly shook my head. “Shit…” Was all I could mutter. “That’s going to bug me.” What was her name? I could picture her… she was in that movie about Australia. Driving that big war truck thing around. Fuck! What was the name of that movie? I was getting too damn old. I let out another sigh and shook my head. “I’ll remember in the middle of the night.” I muttered knowing that it would eventually come to me when it was too late.
“We’re coming up on the junction.” Felon pointed out the slight curve in the road where Highway Y would meet 52. As we got closer I began to slow down without really thinking about it before finally coming to a stop at the intersection and looking to my left for oncoming cars. “Sir are you expecting traffic?” I looked over my shoulder at Felon and then laughed as I started to get riding down the road as we turned right.
“Old habits.” I answered with a shrug. On either side of us snow was piled up around the old abandoned houses. Most of them had Christmas decorations still up from the invasion all those years ago. Up ahead on the right I spotted some of our trucks parked in front of the old dollar store. “You can finally give your dick some rest Huertas.” I called over my shoulder to a wheezing reply.
“Thank Christ!” I chuckled again and looked over to Felon.
“Get them warmed up and fed. I’m heading down the road a bit to the bank across from that… Gas station with the… what was it? Mobster’s pizza?” I was about to continue when I heard Huertas cry out.
“Don’t mention pizza! Fuck! I’d… I’d fuckin… kill… for a big… greasy… pepperoni… fuck.” Felon just shook his head at that.
“With cheese in the crust?”
“Beer! Beer in the crust!” Huertas called back as I frowned.
“How’s the supposed to work?”
“Science! Fuck… I dunno… just… give me… a way… to eat… greasy pizza… and get drunk… at the same time…” He was trying to stand up a bit as he rode now, one hand adjusting his pants as I heard him mutter something about “cojones.”
“Well they won’t have that here.” Felon called back. “Just soy sludge and hot porridge probably. Warm you right up Huertas don’t you worry.” Most of the soldiers pulled off then to stop in the old parking lot of the general store while Lewis and I continued on.
“They used to have a lot of gas stations didn’t they?” Lewis asked as we rode on and I nodded as we past several local places with gas pumps out front. I could see the old sign for McDonalds further down. By now the golden arches had faded to a pale yellow white. There were still some old cars in the parking lot. The snow covering everything but the tops of the windows and their roofs, their paint stripped from years of neglect. Diagonal from the fast food place was the birck building of the bank and there were more of our trucks out front.
Lewis and I rode up onto the sidewalk then and dismounted our bikes, leaning them against the building as we headed inside. Sergeant Jackson nodded to me as we entered and I let out a happy sigh as I saw an oil drum someone had dragged to the middle of the big room and set a fire in. I walked towards it, glancing up at the ceiling to see it was already blackened from the smoke. But without a fireplace or a heater this was simply how we had to keep warm. Rubbing my hands together after removing my gloves I held them up before the fire and looked around.
All the old desks had been removed or shoved to the side and I could see Reed off in the bank’s small vault with a clipboard in hand. We were storing some of our gear and intel around the town until we could get a new camp. The most important stuff would go into bank vaults. Besides Reed there was Jackson and the rest of Bravo scattered around the place. I’m sure some were up on the second floor keeping watch, but only Lewis and I were huddled around the oil drum fire for now. When Reed finally finished with her checklist she walked out of the vault and over to us.
“Sir, have a nice ride through the snow?” She smirked a bit and I gave a snort. Reed was a good officer. I gave her credit for being so professional despite our resistance conditions. I always felt she was a bit too stern and formal with the soldiers though. She was relaxed and casual when it was just me and Lewis but she held very strictly to the old separation of the enlisted from the officers.
“I did, but Sergeant Huertas was having some problems with his seat.” She just shook her head and rolled her eyes before she went on.
“So, we’ve gotten most of our things stashed through the town. You and Alpha were the last to make it down off the mountain. I got word from Piven that the gun bunnies made it to Barnett. His guns are stashed around Rocky Mountain and we’re going to have to hope the aliens don’t find them.” I nodded at that. We barely had time to get out of the Ozarks before the Unity brought in heavy reinforcements so getting the howitzers hooked up and towed would have been nearly impossible.
“What about Hatchet?” I asked and she pointed to a map up on the wall of the area.
“Same as last report. Unity forces are heading northwest from the remains of Fort Sierra to Versailles.” She was about to continue when Lewis spoke up.
“Is that how you say it? I’ve been pronouncing it ver-sails this whole time.” Both Reed and I laughed at that for a moment.
“It’s French.” I informed him and he frowned.
“The French settled there?” He asked and I shook my head. Sometimes I forgot how little history the kids these days knew.
“No it’s just a name. We’ve got a long proud history of stealing names from other places for use here. Like… Paris Texas.”
“West of us is Warsaw.” Reed added. “North up the 87 is California.” I laughed at that.
“Yeah Missouri has Warsaw, Versailles, and California… and… isn’t there a Nevada here too?” I asked and Reed nodded. “Then… Pittsburg?”
“No that’s on the Kansas side.” She mentioned and I nodded.
“Well I know there’s a Moscow Idaho. And Dublin California.” I listed off.
“New York New York Las Vegas Nevada.” Reed added but I just snorted.
“That’s a casino it’s not the same.” She shrugged and then wagged a finger at me.
“But we’ve also got some pretty original names too like Knob Noster.” I laughed as she reminded me about that.
“Oh yes that’s right. Over near Whiteman airforce base… I never did find out what a Noster is or why it has a knob.” I sighed and shook my head slowly before shrugging. “I just hope that it confused the aliens too while they were invading. So back to Hatchet. They’re moving up and away from us even now? Has he been drawing them up?” I asked and Reed shook her head.
“He’s only instigated minor hit and run raids on convoys for supplies but they’ve been scattered all across from 135 to 52.” She pointed at the highways on the map. “And they’re already moving past his position. They’ve got a heavy presence and they’re searching the town itself but they aren’t really stopping for long. Oh and he said you wanted to know about anything unusual? Two nights ago in one of the camps the dogs went… as he phrased it. Nuts.” I arched a brow at that and she handed me the radio transcript.
Hatchet reported that the trained dogs in the camp began acting strangely shortly after sunset. They would growl at the woods but wouldn’t bark and often would try to pull their handlers away from the edge of the camp and closer to the center. In fact all the dogs formed a ring at the center of the camp that night and didn’t sleep but kept an alert and vigilant pose as he put it. Several combat patrols were made that night but no contact was made and no trace of Unity hostiles were found. I shook my head as he described their behavior just like Reed said, as nuts. “That was two nights ago? Nothing since?” She shook her head as I rubbed my chin.
“We haven’t had time to properly interrogate the pilot either. We’ve got her down the street in the Hardee’s freezer.” I glanced up at Reed then and frowned trying to place the name.
“Is that… the Arby’s out here?” I asked and it was Reed’s turn to frown before she realized what I meant and shook her head.
“No, Arby’s is just Arby’s. You’re thinking of Carl’s Junior. I forget sometimes you’re from the west coast.” I just groaned a little and sighed.
“Well damn. Earlier Huertas was talking about greasy pepperoni pizza and now I just made myself think of a big fat ham and cheese sandwich. I guess I’m just hungry. Was Carl’s Junior… Hardee’s the one that had that special that was just a big pile of french fries covered in cheese and bacon?” I asked and heard Lewis groan a little.
“Would you stop with the food? I’m hungry too.” Reed smirked then.
“I can help you two with that problem. Even get you a ham and cheese.” She nodded at me before looking over at Jackson. “Sergeant Jackson. Go get some sandwiches from upstairs.” The Sergeant nodded and headed into the back of the bank to get upstairs as she explained. “We’ve been picking up some goodies from the farms around Jeff. Including ham and cheese.”
I was feeling greedy and couldn’t stop myself before asking. “What kind of bread?”
“Rye I think.” I got my hopes up for a moment. “Just the light one. Not marbled.” I let out a disappointed grunt and shrugged.
“I really shouldn’t get my hopes up. But one day. One day I swear I will have a Reuben again.” Reed chuckled as I said that.
“For a west coast boy you always go on about Reubens. You sure you’re not from New York?” I scoffed as she asked that.
“You act like marbled rye and pastrami is somehow exclusive to the east coast, when they got it from eastern Europe so really you’re just denying yourself the culinary splendor that makes up America.” She smirked at that. “Anyway it’s about where you find it. We moved around a lot when I was a kid but I always could find a Jewish or Russian deli with good rye bread. It was so much more flavorful than that enriched white bread crap in the stores.” I thought it over for a moment then and shrugged. “But I guess now all bread has to be pretty fresh. Not like I can just walk into a supermarket and pick up a loaf of Wonder bread.”
“The Unity provisioning centers usually have some form of bread.” Lewis mentioned. “But… I don’t think I ever got anything that wasn’t a few days old and pretty stale.
“Well you’re in for a treat today.” Reed mentioned as Jackson came back out with a brown paper bag. He opened it up and handed me a hot sandwich wrapped in deli paper and I couldn’t help but let out a soft groan.
“Oh it’s hot… Just what I needed after riding 10 miles uphill through the snow.” I started to unwrap my sandwich as Lewis chimed in.
“Sir, it was actually more like 5 miles downhill.” I just glanced over at him while he unwrapped his own sandwich until I caught his attention and he looked at me.
“Lewis, would you like to go back outside in the cold Missouri winter and ride 5 miles uphill and then 5 miles back down? Or would you like to just agree with your commanding officer and eat a hot ham and cheese sandwich?” He stared back at me for a few seconds before quickly raising his sandwich to take a large bite, as if I was about to take it from him. “That’s what I thought.” Was all I said and looked down at my meal. It was warm but not really toasted. Not like I cared. Light rye, thick slabs of ham, and also thick slices of what looked like very pale yellow cheddar. Without mass production and consumer demand cheese had stopped being orange.
As I took a bite I kept it small, not wanting to eat too fast or choke on a big chunk. But I nearly went back on that idea as I could taste how damn fresh it all was. One of the benefits of getting supplies from the local farms.Which made me pause for a moment. But I kept chewing and swallowed before speaking. “How did they get fresh rye at this time of year? It’s late December and there’s no crops growing.” I looked at Reed who frowned and then shrugged.
“I’m… not sure? I’m sure they had some stored away for the bread.” I thought that over for a moment as I looked at my sandwich.
I glanced at Lewis who was still chomping down big mouthfulls of sandwich, then Jackson past him. “Did you have one?” He nodded.
“Yes, sir. Why?”
I looked back to Reed. “Did anyone get sick?” She looked confused and shook her head. “No? Is this a trustworthy farm?” Switching back over I saw Jackson who seemed to catch on.
“Yes, sir it is. They’ve always been good about providing supplies for the resistance. I know the rye crop is over but it’s just a grain. I’m sure they had some stored away for bread like this.” I nodded slowly and then shrugged before dismissing that thought.
“Just an old man being paranoid I guess. Lord knows I’m no farmer.” I sighed as I realized that a life of being a spy master had corrupted me permanently and this was just one of the more minor ways. I went back to taking small manageable bites of my sandwich and then had to keep from spitting some out when I looked over to see Lewis with his cheeks bulging. I choked down my current bite and spoke. “I had no idea you were this hungry Lewis.”
When he looked at me he just tried to say something but all I could hear was a muffled collection of sounds that meant nothing to me. “Well try not to choke to death. I’d hate to train a new orderly.” I looked past Jackson and nodded at him. “More in the bag?”
“Yes, sir. I was warming them up to take over to the guards at the Hardees. Got a thermos of hot soy sludge in there too.” I reached out for the bag then which he handed over.
“I’ll take it over. I need to talk to the prisoner anyway.” Jackson nodded and began to head for the door when I spoke again. “I didn’t ask for an escort sergeant.” He looked back at me then seeming surprised.
“You should have an escort sir. We’re not in a secure camp.” I snorted at that.
“The nearest Unity forces are supposed to be miles away. And we’re in the center of Eldon. We have sentinels on all the roads. You think I’m in danger walking… what, 200 feet?” The Sergeant shrugged.
“I still think you should have an escort sir.” I glanced over at Reed who shrugged so I then copied the movement and shrugged as well.
“Doesn’t hurt I guess. I must really be showing my age for a young man to offer and help me cross the road.” I smiled and he did as well but the lack of laughter cut a bit deeper than I’d figured it would. We headed outside and I shivered a little at the change in temperature once we were outside. “Did you want to talk to me in private? Is that why you felt the need to escort me?” I asked but the sergeant just glanced over and shook his head. Was I really looking that old and feeble these days? I just rode a bike five miles through snowy roads… I shrugged it off then and kept walking.
The old fast food place was ahead of us past yet another gas station. The once bright and colorful signs faded and worn. I could barely make out a sign about some sort of new hamburger with ham on it and snorted a little. One of Jackson’s men nodded to us from the window as we walked around the structure to the entrance. Inside it was still pretty cold, but not nearly as bad as outside. One of them had a fire going inside one of the ovens.
“Brought you guys some chow.” I mentioned and the soldiers approached, thanking me as I handed out the still warm sandwiches followed by the thermos. I took another few bites of my sandwich as I waited for them each to get a cup full of hot soy sludge and then took the thermos as they handed it back. “The prisoner talkative?”
“Lizzie? She answers questions. Doesn’t venture much on her own except complaints.” One of the soldiers answered me. A corporal based on the smiley face patches on his gear. Just how did that start again? I wish I could remember. How much could I not remember today? I frowned a little and tried to clear my head as something caught up with my brain.
“Lizzie? You guys named her Lizzie? As in… Lizzie the lizard?” I asked and they chuckled.
“That’s her name. It’s on her documents.” Jackson informed me.
“She named herself Lizzie?” I asked then and he shrugged.
“Someone named her Lizzie. That’s all I know for sure.” That made me think for a minute as I just shifted and shook my head.
“See this is why I don’t trust the Isoren. Bregnan have names that sound like you’re coughing up phlegm. The Rekanta don’t even have real names that I can tell. They just have their rank and then a number. But Isoren? They have suspiciously human names. I don’t like it.” I shrugged then and headed to the back of the restaurant. The freezer was pretty easy to spot, as was the icepick they were using to keep it locked shut. I removed the ice pick from the handle and opened it up.
Inside was our captured alien pilot. The reptile was bundled up in thermals and a parka, and ski pants and was still shivering visibly when I saw her. She was just standing in the middle of the room shivering and clutching herself in the cold. “Oh hell you look like a popsicle. Come out here.” I waved her forward and the alien quickly stepped out and then feeling the heat from the oven stood in front of it close enough that I thought she might burn herself on it but clearly the alien wanted the heat.
I stepped into the freezer then and noticed it was about as cold as the outside. “Ah right even without power it’s insulated. Probably kept all the heat from the oven out. Sorry about that. I’m the one who told my men to keep you someplace secure. But that’s not necessary now.” I mentioned and closed the freezer door. I glanced over at Jackson and his men clustered around the old counter as I waved them away to give me and the alien some space.
Jackson nodded and motioned for his men to head closer to the front of the seating area. I handed the thermos to Lizzie then. “Soy sludge.” I said simply and she unfastened the cap so quick I thought she might have just ripped it off before she tilted her head back and started to chug it down. I was about to reach out and try to stop her as I saw the steam coming off the dark liquid but even as I heard her whimper she kept drinking until it was all gone. After that she was shivering less but handed the thermos back, her tongue hanging out a bit as she looked to be in pain.
“Burn your tongue?” She nodded at my question and I just sighed. “Wait here.” I set the sandwich bag on the counter along with my own sandwich and walked outside, scooping up a bit of what looked to be clean snow and walked back inside to press it into her hand. “Suck on some of this.”
The alien looked at the snow as if she’d never dealt with it before. Perhaps she hadn’t. Then she put some in her mouth and we stood there in silence as she seemed to work it around before nodding. “Maybe not burn… just felt very hot.”
“Well I’m sure with how you were shivering in there it’s a hell of a temperature difference to suddenly chug hot sludge like that. Are you hungry?” She nodded then and I was about to tear my sandwich in half when I paused. “Can you eat cheese? Dairy?”
She nodded to that as well. “Given treatment after conquest. Is good source for fat. Need more fat. Cold planet.” I smirked a bit at that and finished tearing my sandwich apart to hand her half. She glanced at it, then me and I took a bite of mine before she began to eat what I’d given her. Once more we just stood there, but now we quietly ate our sandwiches. She finished hers first and waited for me to finish before speaking again. “You said needed to be keep secure. No longer?”
“Well, you’re still our prisoner. But your friends didn’t come looking for you like I thought they would. Hell they didn’t even slow down. They just raced off chasing that Chimera of yours.” She eyed me carefully and I knew she didn’t want to talk about that stuff but I was no longer interested in the fast and sloppy route. “Still hungry?” I asked and she looked a bit confused but nodded once more.
I walked back to the counter for the sandwich bag, just one left so I pulled it out and crumpled up the paper bag they’d been in. I tore it in half just like the other and then reached out with half in either hand. “Which one?” I asked and she hesitantly reached for the one in my left. So she favored her right. I was curious if aliens were lefties or righties and so far I’d seen they were mostly righties. The Bregnan at any rate. I wondered if that meant anything.
This time as she ate I spoke. “Do you have any special dietary needs? We take multi-vitamins to make up for certain deficiencies in what food we can get. I can show you what’s in them. I’m not very familiar with Isoren diet.” The alien pilot studied me carefully and shook her head slowly as she chewed, then swallowed before speaking up.
“No… should be fine with human food. Maybe more… mmhhh… plants?”
“Vegetables and fruit?” I ventured which made her nod. “They’re not as easy to come by in the winter. Hence the vitamins. We’ve got lots of those. Before the invasion people were concerned about eating healthy. We had so much food to eat most of it was very tasty but bad for our health in large amounts. But since it tasted so much better we kept eating it.” I chuckled a little but watched the alien to see if there was any reaction.
“This I was told. Seems so strange… before we get too heavy. Too… mmhh.. Fat. They reduce rations. Why did you not simply reduce rations?” That was interesting. So a pilot had rations? The Unity wasn’t starving. Military habit? I’d find out in time.
“We were free to eat what we wanted. We were successful enough to get fruits and vegetables in any season. But… not any more.” I shrugged. “We’ll see if you can take our multi-vitamins.”
She watched me as she ate a bit more of the sandwich and I took a bite of my half, waiting for her to initiate this time. “So… I am prisoner. But you share food with me? You do not bind me?” I nodded at that. “This is… not as I was told.”
“Have you been treated alright?” I asked then.
“Cold… coldest in that… room.” She nodded past me at the freezer. “But past few nights… not hurt. Fed when able… allowed to wear warmth.” She touched the front of her parka with her free hand. “I thought… maybe just waiting until done running. Thought that room was start. A room to freeze me if I did not talk. But you say mistake?” I nodded.
“Just a simple mistake. I told them to keep you secure. And that room is very secure. It’s just… also cold.” I shrugged.
“I thought… punishment. For not answering questions.” I looked over at Jackson and the other three sitting in one of the old booths up front, talking and drinking their cups of soy sludge.
“Did they ask you questions?” When I glanced back at the alien she was shaking her head.
“No.”
“So… why would we be punishing you for not answering questions we didn’t ask you?” The pilot frowned at that and slowly shrugged. I was curious if shrugging like that was natural to them or learned from us. “Well, no more cold rooms. Soon we’ll move to the houses for the day. Not sure how long we’ll be here. If you keep behaving things should go pretty smooth. Then maybe we can send you home when the fighting dies down.” I shrugged and tried to seem non committal but the alien seemed confused.
“Not here now to… barbecue me for information?” I frowned at that and then laughed.
“Grill you? No. No I wanted to make sure you were fed and doing alright. I’ll have questions later. I don’t know much about the Isoren. All the Unity says is you’re faithful servants. Like the Bregnan.” I made sure not to smile when the alien let out a hiss.
“Not like them! They are brutes! No manners! Too aggressive. We are better. More useful. More civilized.” I raised my hands then.
“Hey that’s only what we heard from the Unity. They don’t tell us much.” She got quiet at that and seemed thoughtful. “I’ll talk with you later Lizzie.”
“Wait… that is all? No… questions about Chimera?” She asked and I shook my head.
“Nope. It’s moved on. I’m more interested in you. Your kind. If you need something let them know.” I pointed to the soldiers up front. “If you get cold where they set up for the day tell them. They’ll find you more blankets, or get a fire going. Just tell them.” I nodded and turned to leave, motioning for Jackson who got up from the booth to walk over to me. I stepped outside with him before talking. “You trust your men to watch her?”
He nodded. “Yes sir I do.”
“Good. Tell them to keep a light touch with this one. Treat her well. Be gentle but firm. She can’t just wander off but don’t tie her down. Keep someone up at all times at night to make sure she doesn’t escape but no interrogation, no mistreatment. They’re free to talk to her. But simple questions only. Nothing about Unity forces or their military. Okay?” He nodded once more and I gave his shoulder a pat as he headed back inside to talk to his men.
While he was in there I briefly considered heading back to the bank on my own without him as an escort but figured I’d just wait. Didn’t make sense to possibly annoy him over something so trivial. When he came back outside we went crunching back through the snow towards the bank. “How was the fight for the supermarket crossroads back at Fort Sierra?” I asked then, realizing I hadn’t done much after action work yet since I’d been so busy with the evacuation and then hiding in the woods.
“Surprisingly easy sir. By the time they started to retreat we were well entrenched and Zeus just moved the barrage up along their path. Did we ever get a final count of the hostiles sir?” I shook my head at that.
“No we were moving out of there too quick. Best guess is around a buck twenty.”
“What about our own casualties sir?” That made me sigh softly. Besides hiding out in the woods these last few days I’d also been carving stars into rocks to honor our dead.
“We got off light. Final count was 34 dead. About the same seriously wounded. We caught them by surprise and hit them hard as we could. You know as well as I how poorly the Bregnan do in an ambush. Especially when they’re outnumbered. Their only instinct is to charge. They’re too used to having the upper hand.” He nodded at that. We’d seen them charge head first into kill zones. The Bregnan were not tacticians. They were bred to charge it seemed. So charge they did.
“Sort of sucks to think that even if we always could kill them three to one there might not be enough of us left.” I nodded as he said that. It was a sobering thought. As we approached the bank I saw a third bike stacked next to mine and Lewis’. When we headed inside it wasn’t much of a mystery to see who it belonged to.
“Master Sergeant Felon. Has Sergeant Huertas’ ass managed to recover from his earlier ordeal?” I asked as Felon laughed.
“Yes, sir I do believe he has. At least enough to stop complaining and start eating.” I smirked at that and nodded. “Either way sir I found us a house Lewis, you, and I can camp out in today.” I nodded at that. Felon was more or less my bodyguard when he wasn’t commanding Alpha.
“Alright well let's go take a look then. Major Reed has he told you where we’ll be?” I looked past him at the Major and she nodded.
“It’s down the street a bit. Not too far at all. If I need you or hear anything I’ll send someone down. Plus Lewis has his radio if things require breaking radio silence.” I nodded then and motioned for Lewis who tipped a cup he was holding up to his mouth to quickly gulp the contents before he stepped back outside with Felon and me. Felon got his bike but was just walking it rather than riding it.
“The snow down the street makes it a bit too hard to ride. We didn’t want to drive our trucks further into town in case a Unity patrol rolls down the highway. It’s not too bad though just a few blocks. I’m sure you’ll love it sir. You’ll fit right in.” I frowned as he said that and tried to think about what was down this road.
“You’re not trying to take me to the funeral home are you?” I asked which made him laugh.
“No sir. You’re not dead yet are you?”
“I most certainly am not. Sergeant Jackson thought I looked so old and frail though he did walk me down the street.” I let out a grumpy harumph which made Felon laugh again while we walked our bikes along the old snow covered street. I looked around as we walked along. Past an old church, then a career center, then a fire station, then another church. Looking back I never understood why we had so many churches. Then again why did we have so many gas stations? Everyone liked their own particular brand I guess.
We passed the funeral home and I glanced over at Felon. “We’ve passed a few houses Felon. Where are we going?”
“Just up ahead. Across from that boat.” When he pointed I squinted to see a boat sticking up out of the snow half a block up. It looked like at one point it had been covered in a tarp but the tarp was torn to shreds and the boat itself didn’t look much better. When I saw the house we were approaching I scoffed a little, looking up at it.
“Did you just find the biggest fanciest house in the area?” I asked as I looked up at the big columns out front and the Christmas decorations littered all over the place.
“Yes, Sir I did. I figure the nicer houses are built better. Besides it’s got a fireplace.” He pointed to the chimney.
“They’ve all got fireplaces.” I replied as I waved my arm around the neighborhood. But either way we were soon walking up the path past the little statue in the front yard sticking up out of the snow and up the brick steps to the front door. I knocked and the other two just stared at me for a moment as I sighed. “Old habits.” I repeated again and tried the door which opened with a loud ominous horror movie creak. But inside was dark and quiet.
“Anyone home?” I called out but got no reply so I knocked my boots against the door frame to try and knock most of the snow off and stepped inside. To the right in the corner was the skeletal remains of a Christmas tree. I sighed heavily as I saw the presents arrayed around the bottom. Still wrapped, but now covered in dust and dead Christmas tree.
“You always call that out when we enter an old house like this.” Felon mentioned as he stepped past me. “Has anyone ever answered?”
“Not yet.” I replied with a shrug.
“Look at this one.” Lewis pointed at one of the presents which was very sloppily wrapped. Whoever had covered it looked like they’d used one giant piece and just wrapped the boxy contents in it, folding it at odd angles and using a giant piece of tape to hold it all in place. Felon picked it up.
“Ah shit… it’s just made out to dad.” I shook my head slowly then as I walked further into the house, glancing at the pictures at the walls. The people were smiling and happy. Were any of them still alive?
“Open it.” Lewis was saying behind me.
“What?”
“Open it. They clearly aren’t coming back for it.” I heard the tearing of wrapper paper followed by Felon’s surprised gasp.
“No way!” I looked back and frowned as I tried to see what the box was he had in his hands. “It’s the complete blu-ray set! The original trilogy, the prequels, and the new stuff! Look!” He held the box out towards me. “It’s the one with the unmolested original trilogy at that!” I arched a brow as I tried to piece that together.
“Unmolested?”
“Yeah you know, like it was originally aired! Without all that bullshit CGI stuff they added later. Thanks George.” He muttered that last phrase sarcastically.
“Are the stand alones on there?” I asked but he shook his head.
“Nah just the core.”
“Well it’s still not a bad find.” I replied before seeing Lewis’ confused face. “Wait… you’ve got no idea what we’re talking about do you?” He just shrugged and I began to look around. “Leo see if the power still works. Lets find the TV. Lewis here hasn’t seen this glorious masterpiece of science fantasy before! We need to correct that.” Felon snapped off a salute to that.
“Sir yes sir!” He said before heading deeper into the house, the boxset held tight in his hands as if he was afraid he’d lose it.
“Lewis head back up to the general store and requisition us snacks. Lots and lots of snacks. You’ve got…” I tried to do some mental math. “Somewhere between 18 and 24 hours of movies for us to get through.”
“What?” He stood there looking even more confused at me. “But… aren’t you worried about Unity or… planning our next move or something?” I was about to reply when there was a loud clack from somewhere in the back and the lights flickered to life around us. So I just lifted my hands to the ceiling,
“It’s Christmas Lewis and we’ve just been handed a miracle! So go get some food and prepare yourself for a spectacle of Hollywood entertainment! You’ve missed out on some of our finest cinema! It’s time to correct that and show you some of what we’re fighting for!” He snorted at that.
“Movies? I think fighting for our freedom is pretty damn important sir.”
“It most certainly is. And that includes our freedom to make movies! So get.” I waved him out the door and then went to find Felon and the house’s TV. I knew I was being a bit selfish, especially with Unity forces just a few miles down the road. But if they headed our way Reed would warn me. And I couldn’t remember the last time I’d sat down and just watched a movie. Maybe this Christmas wasn’t going to be so bad.
Next Chapter
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Izumi3682 Archives

Fusion Energy in the 21st Century: Status and the Way Forward by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 3 points 16 days ago
Important point.
“It’s great that there are more private entities supporting innovation. Perhaps we are at the level of technology now where start-ups can compete with national labs and agencies, as they seem to be in space travel,”
Exactly. I prophesy that a start-up will produce commercially viable fusion energy in less than 15 years. Maybe closer to ten.
I imagine our technological advances across the board are going to be pretty amazing come 2028 if just these last three years are anything to judge things by. The ITER which was a worthy concept in the year 2013 is based on the best science and technology the 20th century could devise. But 21st century technology is going to just straight up transcend the concept of the ITER.
I see the 21st century supercomputing enabled Wendelstein "stellarator" as proof of concept that the start-ups will succeed well before the ITER goes into full operation. Yes, I understand the W7-X is merely proof of concept in its own right and not even intended for commercial fusion. But it shows the new ways we are thinking.
ITER is also a failure to think exponentially. It is in essence, the mindset of generals always fighting the last (previous) war.
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Elon Musk just announced that SpaceX will livestream its 2023 moon mission in virtual reality, in real time by [deleted] in Futurology


[–]izumi3682 1 point 16 days ago
That's a technological lifetime from today, but cool! It'll look pretty awesome I bet.
I still want to see a tornado chase in 360 degree VR. A big scary close up one too. Not a skinny little thing that you can hardly see moving because of distance parallax, 2 counties over.
Something in 4K 3D VR that looks like this.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-iuGipbmneY
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
Oh, 600 years? I'm terrible at math sorry. I mean like math challenged. And I fault myself for being too lazy to check with a calculator. 600 years I meant. Oh no wonder I could not find reference to the Manchu conquest. Yeah that was not an issue during the Ming period of the Treasure voyages.
Some of these treasure ship sea routes are very substantially in open water far removed from coasts. They well had the technical and knowledge capability to traverse the Pacific ocean.
https://sites.google.com/a/uconn.edu/the-escapades-of-the-grand-imperial-eunuch2/home/the-motive
Sailing along the coast is not remotely similar to crossing the Atlantic from the point that Columbus crossed it. He was damn lucky the Western Hemisphere was in the way of the route to Asia. Because they were voyaging absolutely blind. My point being that the Chinese could have done the same. It just occurred to me that nobody knew about Australia then either. Ok, the human aboriginals living on that continent, "knew" about Australia, but you know what I mean. But their (Chinese) society changed. Forever, right up until about 20 years ago. And look how far they have come in just ten years now.
It's not just Tesla. It's everybody. It's Volvo, it's Toyota, it's BMW, it's GM, it's Ford, it's Jaguar, it's motorcycles--which by the way I think are going to go extinct on public thoroughfares. It's the way of the future. And I stick to my guns on how things are gonna start phase changing by 2022. I forget who all is working on trucks, but trucks too. Oh and Apple and Google too. Plus tons of small start-ups everywhere. Vehicles like everything else are turning into ARA.
What was wrong with my figure of 8 million USA citizens trucking or ancillary to trucking. I'm referring to relatively stable full time well paying and benefits occupations. I was not including Uber. I just commented on Uber because you raised that point. But as far as Uber and humans is concerned--ten years, human driven taxis? Gone.
I said this.
And being a physician is going to be deskilled to the point that drs will be you plus the ARA. This is already happening as well.
The ARA (AI, robotics and automation) is already making tremendous advances in imaging diagnosis. I see new breakthroughs each month. Sometimes each week. If you truly believe that ARA is not going to replace human physicians in surgery for example, you are in denial.
It's gonna go like this. Physicians using ARA for surgery. Development of ARA to do surgery. This is already concurrently ongoing. Physicians overseeing ARA doing surgery. Development of ARA to oversee surgery. Humans removed from loop. And on top of that, surgery itself is not in a vacuum. There are myriad other developments occurring that may obviate the need for surgery at all. I would bet that by 2030 people will be astonished that we used to cut people open to fix things. I bet the last human drs to go will be emergency medicine and plastic surgery. Plastic surgery because the dr must satisfy a subjective aesthetic desire. That might be a tough nut for AI to crack.
Medicine will over the next couple of decades evolve ever more into information science. At the genetic/molecular level.
You just watch what ARA achieves in the next 5 years. I've seen what it has done in just the last three years. What is coming is almost beyond human belief.
The point of my original post comment was, how shall humanity fare when most humans no longer work? This in about 20 years. In ten years, a critical threshold of USA citizens will not be working because of ARA. How shall they manage? Well except for me. I'll probably still be doing damn xrays when I'm 68.
If it seems like everything is advancing unbelievably fast all of a sudden, it is. I place the beginning of the ARA revolution at the year 2015. And that was only because the computing speed and capacity, to include the use of the GPU, reached a necessary threshold it's ownself.
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Why giving human voices to AI assistants is an ethical nightmare by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
I'd want Morgan Freeman's reassuring voice. Then I would feel reassured.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
I like saying ARA. Well I mean writing it. Cuz if you say them out loud they pretty much sound the same it looks like. Imma make it a new written word in the English language like that Irish guy that made "quiz" a new word in the English language on a bet.
http://hoaxes.org/weblog/comments/the_origin_of_the_word_quiz
So maybe it looks like I might be the first real, not hoax, person to make "ARA" a universal word. Then everybody will be like, that izumi can get things done.
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India Ahead of US and Japan in Automation & AI Adoption: Study by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 16 days ago
I just talked about India yesterday. India is a very unusual and interesting case. While most of India is basically a third world, there are about 12 "city-states" where the technology, I agree, is tremendously advanced.
I wonder that those "city-states" will not in some way transcend what we think of technology and technological advancement. A phenomenon that has never existed in modern human society in at least the last 100 years.
I applaud the Indian "city-state" and hope that the resultant technology can lift all of India to a comfortable and affluent life. But at 1.2 billion humans, it's a pretty tall order today though.
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Robots to create millions of jobs, but these ‘safe’ careers could be hit hard by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] -1 points 16 days ago
Think of the difference between today and ten years ago. How much was ARA (AI, robotics and automation) impacting us? I think there is a very good reason why we are seeing these kinds of headlines today.
We have reached a critical threshold in our ARA efforts. One that already is directly impacting humans everywhere. If we ever do have another "AI winter" from this point, what on earth is going to be on the other side of it? And assuming we hit some kind of intractable problem, how much of a reprieve for us. Five years? Ten?
I am not iamverysmart, but I can see what is happening. I won't link my observations, but I certainly have the capability to discuss my reasoning with you. Message me if you want to discuss.
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A.I. Is About to Start Writing Its Own Fake News And Soon It'll Be Impossible To Tell What's True by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 6 points 16 days ago
Humans are so easy to fool. OMG, we don't have a chance. We wanted to fly like birds--now we fly jets at mach 9.6. We wanted to ride faster than the horse--now we routinely cruise down the highway at 80 mph.
We want to emulate the human brain. But the emulation will be no more like the human brain than the bird is like the jet or the horse is like the truck.
This is merely one little facet. We won't know what hit us.
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Reimagining of Schrödinger’s cat breaks quantum mechanics — and stumps physicists. In a multi-‘cat’ experiment, the textbook interpretation of quantum theory seems to lead to contradictory pictures of reality, physicists claim. by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
One of the things that is going to happen time going forward is that we shall gain increased and fuller understanding of what makes reality reality. I bet that in the next 50 years we discover some things that will utterly floor us. But these things are necessary to be able to exploit the same for our purposes of advancement as a, well "species" may not ultimately be the right word. Let's just say our sentience.
In the next 100 years I suspect we shall learn how to effectively discard our biology. Now you may say; "Now see here! This is not what humans want!" And 2018 me would be likely to agree with you.
But pull back your perspective, far away from the Earth. Realize that what is occurring is the universe (our portion of the multiverse) "waking up". And further, everybody else on any other worlds is more than likely developing towards the same thing, because physics is the same probably everywhere in the observable universe. And physics is what leads the way to fuller understanding of the universe at large. Technology is probably a common side effect.
Unless we blow ourselves to kingdom come in the next 20 years. Then just never mind. :P
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
Ah, so it was your own made up term..
Well... not precisely. I cleaned up something I saw earlier. Now then, if you see ARA pop up in media in the future--that was me! lol!
Interestingly I did not get that acronym from the following. I found this by accident just today!
The current language when talking about Artificial Intelligence, Robots and Automation – (what we can name the ‘AIRA’ technologies),
https://disruptionhub.com/future-artificial-intelligence-robots-automation/
I got it from the USA government report on AI, robotics, automation and the US economy.
https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/documents/Artificial-Intelligence-Automation-Economy.PDF
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
Where are they?
You will see them next year. 2019. Everywhere. By 2022 people everywhere will be ditching their manually driven ICE personally owned vehicles for the dream life of a low cost subscription. No insurance, no maintenance. Mark my words. A lot of people will have the wealth to purchase, but most will choose to forego personal ownership for the convenience and low cost of the subscription.
uber driver, are low pay with no benefits.
A job is a job. A gig is a gig. Low pay, no benefit jobs are an unpleasant fact of life in the USA now. You just have to work a bunch of them to make your ends meet is all. It's a tough life, you know?
What I also did not mention is the official unemployment report only reports those currently receiving unemployment insurance. People that have simply given up are not a part of the official roll. And that number of "discouraged" is substantial. Personally, I wonder what happens to them. They are no longer receiving unemployment insurance. How do they manage to fare?
I did not say robot doctors today. I said that slowly, but surely AI is de-skilling essential doctor functions, particularly in regard to imaging and diagnosis. The de Vinci surgical robotic assistant also has a recording function for innumerable metrics and is compiling data on what the human surgeon is doing. The point of that is to enable AI developers to make the device ultimately autonomous. Have you seen the footage of the ARA (AI, robotics and automation) device perfectly and precisely suturing that grape? Yeah in ten years, not all surgeons will be human. And in 20 years? Man, it's gonna be a whole 'nother world.
The treasure voyages of the Ming Dynasty were halted by a wrong-headed, but utterly supreme emperor. I said nothing about dominating anybody. I was referring to the very good chance that the voyages could have reached the west coasts of North, Central and South America. The Pacific ocean is large, but humans are smart.
The Hongxi Emperor was fiercely against the treasure voyages throughout his reign.[81] After the advice of Xia Yuanji, he ordered the cessation of the treasure voyages on 7 September 1424, the day of his accession to the throne.[95] On 8 September 1424, he released Xia Yuanji from his imprisonment.[98] However, the succeeding Xuande Emperor ordered Admiral Zheng He to command the fleet for the seventh voyage.[105] This was after the death of Xia Yuanji on 19 February 1430, thus it can be argued that an important obstacle disappeared after his death.[180] The Xuande Emperor went against the general court opinion when he ordered the seventh voyage.[112]
After 1433, the civil officials succeeded in halting subsequent maritime expeditions.[168] The ships were left to rot, while their lumber was sold for fuel in Nanjing.[168] The mariners were reassigned to load grain on barges of the Grand Canal and to build the emperor's mausoleum.[168] After the voyages, subsequent Ming emperors would reject the Yongle Emperor's policy of bringing maritime trade into the structure of the tributary system.[142]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ming_treasure_voyages
Bear in mind that this was nearly 70 years before the Spaniards were present in the Western Hemisphere. The Europeans were doing the exact same thing the Chinese were doing. Mucking about Africa and the Indian Ocean. There were no Europeans to dominate yet. I don't know how the Chinese would have interacted with the aboriginal peoples to include possible pacific island "discoveries".
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Audi: Autonomous cars alone won’t solve traffic jams by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 16 days ago
No. This.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iHzzSao6ypE
Probably better you are engaged in your screen or VR. The future of E-SDVs is not something mentally healthy for humans to look out the vehicle windows to see. Well at least the current generation. Going forward the new generation will accept it as a given. Think of sticking a horse riding human from 1900 into a passenger seat in a car on the freeway today. Same sort of bad for mental health thing.
But you know something. None of this happens in a vacuum. In about ten years I bet people no longer need to drive so much. Plus you will be sleeping or gaming or social media um, ing.
This is the way the pre-singularity unfolds. Then in about 20 years, it's just gonna be a world we can't properly imagine today.
But the ARA (AI, robotics and automation) is going to change everything everywhere. E-SDVs are but a facet of it. Just wait til they roll out the E-SFVs. Yes, they are in the works as well. Over the next two years they will get a much higher profile.
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'Accessory To War' An Uncomfortable Wake-Up Call For Some by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
Well the thing about India is, and this differs greatly from China (PRC), is that apart from about 12 "tech-hub" city-states, India suffers from many of the classic problems of being a third world country. Despite it's centralized government, it is politically disorganized and the central government has little power aside from the city-states. Also despite the extraordinary beauty of India and it's people, it's advance is substantially inhibited because of dissension from cultural and religious issues. When you are not actually in a city-state, you have to be very careful. The majority of India is unfortunately a most untechnological, medieval thinking, filthy (as in unhygienic) backwater.
Having said that, when Indian nationals leave India and adopt other countries as homes, they invariably intellectually outshine the adopted countries best intellects! That's an odd phenomena and it makes me wonder why Indians in India are unable to achieve this. There are exceptions to that rule, but the fact remains.
Yes, I understand that India is making notable strides forward in its thinking. The removing of the so-called dalit or untouchable status, well officially anyways, is a step in the right direction. But there still exists cultural and tribal manners such as widespread misogynistic gender oppression that it will be decades before such a populous country as India can be considered alongside the USA and China (PRC).
China for it's part is a deadly, monolithic absolutely stable human rights oppressing entity. China (PRC) executes nearly a thousand people every year. Far and away more than all the other capital punishment countries on Earth combined. They don't play around. India is probably a nicer place than China (PRC) in that respect, but China (PRC) is all on the same page. And that matters for universal technological advancement. I bet China PRC) is the ascending country that could potentially eclipse the USA technologically. This until the ARA (AI, robotics and automation) pretty much takes over everything around 2030 or so.
More things I have written about China (PRC) if you are interested.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/5pwnyj/china_reminds_trump_that_supercomputing_is_a_race/dcw3qyq/
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A Paleontologist Explains Why Digitizing Museums Will Help Uncover the Past by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 17 days ago
Here is some terrific examples of our early stages of digitizing things. In fact this linked source can be used with the Oculus Rift. The last time I tried it however--about a year ago--the tools for manipulation of views was very limited.
https://sketchfab.com/models/categories/cultural-heritage-history
But you can see what is coming. This site works awesome on a mobile. At least on my iphone x it does.
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'Accessory To War' An Uncomfortable Wake-Up Call For Some by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
Important point.
Russia, and more importantly, China and India, are rising fast and China can easily claim a tie. The picture is quickly changing, and if America's military leaders think they can dominate space technology and hence have power over all nations, they'd better think again. Those days are gone.
Me: Um, not India so much.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
The US doesn't have 4 million truck drivers.
The American Trucking Associations estimates that there are 3.5 million truck drivers in the USA.Jul 27, 2018
In addition there are an estimated 3.8 million USA citizens in employ that is directly related to the human truck driver so the combination of human trucker plus essential ancillary vocations is aproximately 8 million.
https://medium.com/basic-income/self-driving-trucks-are-going-to-hit-us-like-a-human-driven-truck-b8507d9c5961
Also, a 2% rise in unemployment won't cause society to collapse.
In 1932 the USA unemployment rate was nearly 25%. But 1932 was a far and away different world than the year 2018. In the most recent great recession the USA unemployment rate rose to 7% and it was world headlines and in the USA the damage was devastating to many demographics. As a result of this the American society is exquisitely sensitive to the reported unemployment rate. Plus USA society is well aware of the coming impact of ARA. There is nobody who doesn't know what is coming at this point.
So a two point rise in unemployment rates would be 6.1%. Because of what we know, it would set off alarm bells everywhere. I have written extensively, but I will not post a link today to those writings I don't think, about the difference between the industrial revolution and this revolution today. There is no time to change to new employment. Anyways no new employment will exist. This is coming for everyone. Oh, and the rising unemployment rate will not pause at 6.1% this time.
I agree that post-scarcity sounds like communism, but that's a bit specious. Post-scarcity, properly realized, is what should be the ultimate destiny for every single human on Earth. But one thing is that post-scarcity will not come to be until a critical threshold of unemployment is reached due to the development of ARA. And probably a negative income tax or some kind of UBI will cover the period of time from critical threshold to virtually universal unemployment.
But here is the crux of it all. Will post-scarcity truly usher in a new age of humans having all needs met to allow us the pinnacle of our hierarchy of needs? Self-actualization? Or will humans continue to be avaricious and not allow each and every human to meet his or her need of S-A. I hope that our AI in whatever form by then has the wisdom to make all of humanity happy. Because ARA is going to be doing 95% of human employ in less than 20 years. Even today Lawyers are on notice. And being a physician is going to be deskilled to the point that drs will be you plus the ARA. This is already happening as well.
China didn't have the capability to be "a state that dominates all others in every category (military, culture, economy)" 500 years ago.
Yes China did 500 years ago. Perhaps you are not familiar with this history.
China is an authoritarian state. It has been an authoritarian state for 2000 years. Nothing is going to upset China (PRC) or Chinese (PRC) stability. And the world had better get used to it. China has chosen to rise in the 21st century and will continue to rise until the ARA transcends it all. For better or worse.
https://www.reddit.com/Futurology/comments/5fikpo/china_to_invest_140_billion_by_2020_to_relocate/dam0lsc/
ARA is AI, robotics and automation
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
Haha! You tell 'em mr longjumpers!
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Can Human Factors Make Self-Driving Cars Less Hazardous? by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 17 days ago
This kind of defeats the purpose of the level 5 autonomy E-SDV. The concept is no steering wheel, no accelerator, no brake. I fully understand the human concern with human interaction, but this article is, to me, representative of what I perceive as a very human inability to comprehend exactly what is actually transpiring.
And that is that humans will have no influence or intervening impact on the physical operation of the vehicle on the thoroughfare. That is what all the major automotive manufacturers are developing towards.
BMW is the latest that just today I have seen join this movement.
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Audi: Autonomous cars alone won’t solve traffic jams by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 1 point 17 days ago
I'm pretty sure that in addition to the AI intrinsic to the E-SDV, there will also be AI driven mapping, tracking and intervehicle communication. The trick is going to be standardizing all that to make a smooth flowing system. And that's probably going to take a good ten years.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 7 points 18 days ago
I speak reasonably. I question everything. If time proves my silly statements to be false, I'll cross them bridges when I come to them.
I think everyone at some point fantasizes living forever. But the difference between me and Ponce de Leon, is that we now have some hard science and technology dedicated to just that sort of thing. Consider the science and technology of aging even ten years ago. There wasn't any. Aging was considered normal and natural. Certainly not a genetic pathology to be addressed and intervened with.
You seem very bitter. I don't know why. The future, barring horrific societal upheaval and a culling of humanity ten years from today, looks to be a wonderful place. And I think the bad outcome is maybe only 20 or 30 percent chance of happening. I am happy and freethinking.
This fellow said an interesting thing the other day, I thought worth repeating.
Fools act on imagination without knowledge, pedants act on knowledge without imagination. Read more at: https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/alfred_north_whitehead_385914
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
My "agenda"
Keep an eye on China (PRC)
Keep an eye on ARA (AI, robotics and automation)
Keep an eye on USA society. I guess Europe too, but I'm only really concerned with my government.
Links to links to links is just me making more comments so I don't have to repeat myself ad infinitum. I never at any point claimed a given link to be a valid vetted source. Its just more stuff I thought at an earlier date, that might lend some insight or further explanation to what I have already written. I usually preface such a link with a statement like. "If you are still interested in what I think here is link with some things that are related or I said earlier."
What is astroturfing?
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 0 points 18 days ago
AI Gestapo. And we are making one. Not even on purpose. It is simply emerging from our ever increasing information and data collecting. What it will be used for is anyone's guess. And I don't know if we are out of the woods either. I have always maintained that a war over economics and resources is more likely than one over political beliefs.
Did you read the link I place in my update? This one?
https://www.newsweek.com/im-holocaust-survivor-trumps-america-feels-germany-nazis-took-over-876965
I don't think I am alone in my fears of an authoritarian government emerging in the USA. And I believe we truly started on this road with 9/11. In addition there are demographic changes occurring in the USA which will coincide to make the white race in the USA a racial minority. The balance has apparently already tipped. I am not making a judgment about this. I am only reporting on what is happening and how it is impacting not only the USA, but the influence that the USA has on the world at large.
To me every single human being is a mind (and soul). What our physical appearance is like should never ever enter into what matters. But in the USA I see evidence that Trump is a sign that people with minds that hate are making themselves known.
I don't know how it is in Europe, but I see some evidence of new racisms against the African and ME immigrants too.
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
People will have to adjust, possibly by moving to a new industry in a new place, but we've accomplished it before.
I'm not fearmongering. I am just putting the news out there. And in any event you sound like the USA government. They hope to "retrain" 4 million truck drivers into doing coding or perhaps empathy advisers. This is ludicrous. The ARA is going to take everything. There is going to be no "sanctuary industry". We are not replacing human muscle this time. We are striving to replace the human mind.
I agree that UBI is silly. Post scarcity is the only answer.
I stand corrected on that. So "hyperpower". And yes, I do believe we are going to hand global hegemony to China (PRC) on a silver platter. But here is the thing that most people do not consider. China had the capability to be a hyperpower 500 years ago, but as a society it chose not to. So now we all act surprised when China so-called "suddenly" emerges from its self-imposed cloister and starts to bring a far larger presence to the world.
permalinksavecontextfull comments (166)editdelete
A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
The TLDR is we know what is happening. We are not sure what to do about it. We hope "retraining" will help. The USA government dismisses UBI and post-scarcity out of hand.
ARA is AI, robotics and automation.
There it is. I put in context with some other things. Perhaps you did not read the full comment and overlooked it.
That seems to be what most of your argument is about. Did you know what the term AGI meant before you read my comment. Sometimes I assume, yes I know what "assume" is lol, that readers in this subreddit are already familiar with these terms.
BTW if you are interested I have a sort of overview about things with just massive tons of links to other things I've said in comments going back them five years lol! Since the year 2011 I have been utterly fascinated with the future in all aspects.
https://www.reddit.com/useizumi3682/comments/8cy6o5/izumi3682_and_the_world_of_tomorrow/
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A.I. and robotics will create almost 60 million more jobs than they destroy by 2022, report says by izumi3682 in Futurology


[–]izumi3682[S] 2 points 18 days ago
I'm not sure I follow you here. I explained ARA and if you are not familiar with AGI, it is "artificial general intelligence". The exact same kind of intelligence that got you from bed to the comment you made.
I'm a little smart, but more importantly, I'm observant. And I have been observing consistently and continuously for the last five years. Day by day. I see what is coming.
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